Hey, the blog lives!  Okay, not really- but I will be doing more baseball stuff after the holidays on Red Reporter as well as RedsZone.

Anyway, here are the links for the main CDs.  Please drop me an email at drscott46@gmail.com with feedback or technical problems.

Disc 1

Disc 2

Commentary

WEB-EXCLUSIVE BONUS MATERIAL!

Nineteen more tracks that couldn’t dislodge any of the forty-six that made it.  The list:

Bon Savants, “Between the Moon and the Ocean” More fey swoon-rock.  Belle & Sebastian didn’t do a record this year.

The Coathangers, “Shut the Fuck Up” Not quite as great song-wise as Black Lips, but killer name and punchline chorus.

Editors, “Acceptable in the 80s” (Calvin Harris cover) Normally about as joyful as a boot to the jimmies, the Joy Division knockoffs have some fun.

Fountains of Wayne, “Strapped for Cash” Dig the Billy Joel shout-out-out-out.

Grizzly Bear, “Knife” Original 2006 version of the stoner-rock classic.

I’m From Barcelona, “We’re From Barcelona” Actually from Sweden.  Figures.

Jarvis Cocker, “Don’t Let Him Waste Your Time” Pulp frontman samples Tommy James’ “Crimson and Clover”.

Kevin Drew, “Backed Out On The…” Broken Social Scene mainstay’s solo record.

Maritime, “For Science Fiction” Scientology?  No, just ex-members of the Promise Ring and the Dismemberment Plan.

Mobius Band, “Friends Like These”  Percolatory bloop-rock from WOXY faves.

Office, “The Ritz” Share both a sound and a hometown (Chicago) with treadmill-rockers OKGO.

Petra Haden, “Don’t Stop Believin’” (Journey cover) A cappella!

The Poison Control Center, “Make Love a Star” Great power-pop song- if they’d had a decent second verse.

The Ponys, “Double Vision” Hyperactive ’80sish stuff.

The Rifles, “She’s Got Standards” (radio edit) One final UK import that hasn’t gotten a US release.

Soko, “I’ll Kill Her” Exactly the sort of song you find on Myspace. 

The Veils, “Advice for Young Mothers to Be” Lead singer’s a bit over the top, but great song.

YACHT, “See a Penny (Pick it Up)” New band from one-half of the Blow.  The video’s got a bunch of shots of downtown Portland.

Young Love, “Discotech” Catchy.  I dunno.

Finally, I’d be remiss if I didn’t link to the funnest video I saw this year- Escort’s “All Through the Night“. Yes, “funnest”.

Enjoy, and happy holidays.

AAA

The Bats finished at 74-70, their best record in a couple of years.  Winning streaks to end the year helped!  Stay tuned for the 2007 Louisville Bats Year in Review, an article I’ll get to at the end of the MLB season.

AA

Chattanooga’s 38-32 second-half record couldn’t atone for a 29-41 start.  Total record: 67-73.

High-A

9/4: Game one of the divisional series saw the Reds send lefty Ben Jukich (8-2, 3.65 for the Reds; 11-6, 4.35 on the year) against Clearwater (PHI) and righty Andrew Cruse.  The Reds plated runs in the fourth and sixth on RF Cody Strait’s solo homer and 3B Eric Eymann’s sacrifice fly, but this game was all Mr. Jukich.  The 24-year-old threw seven no-hit innings, walking two and striking out five, to get the win.  Sean Watson lost the no-hitter but not the lead (1 IP, 1 H, 1 K) and Derrik Lutz survived a bases-loaded jam for the save (1 IP, 1 H, 2 BB, 1 K).  Sarasota took a 1-0 lead with a 2-0 victory.

9/5: Rained out.

9/6: Daryl Thompson (9-5, 3.77 for the Reds, 14-5, 3.18 overall) started and shut the Threshers out for the first few innings.  The Reds took a 1-0 lead on DH Jeremiah Piepkorn’s second-inning RBI single, but Clearwater got to Thompson (5 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 4 K) for two runs in the fourth.  Robert Manuel came on and allowed a single run in the sixth (3 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 2 K).  Sarasota managed a run in the sixth on 1B Tonys Gutierrez’ RBI knock, but Thresher reliever William Savage retired nine straight Reds to end the game, five by strikeout, as Clearwater evened the series with a 3-2 win.

9/7: Again the Reds scored first, grabbing a 1-0 advantage after Strait scored on an error that allowed Gutierrez to reach safely.  Clearwater scored two off starter Alex Smit (4.2 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 4 K) in the top of the fourth, but again the Reds took the lead, 3-2, on Eymann’s two-run double in the bottom of the fourth.  Sean Watson came on in relief to get the last out of the fifth and add a scoreless sixth, but permitted two more runs in the seventh (2 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 2 K).  Again the Reds couldn’t mount a series threat late, and Clearwater took the 4-3 win and the 2-1 series victory.

Three closely fought games, but the Reds go home early in their first playoff appearance in year #3 of their Cincinnati affiliation.  Sarasota should be proud of its stellar 81-59 season record, however. 

Low-A

9/5: Dayton leaped out to a lead in both the game and the series against South Bend (ARI), scoring three runs in the first three innings of this one.  They then rode eight innings of four-hit ball from righty Daniel Guerrero (6-4, 3.98 in 19 GS during the season) to a 3-1 victory.  Marcos Mateo pitched the ninth for the save.  LF Carson Kainer doubled in 3B Juan Francisco for the first run (with DH Brandon Waring thrown out at home on the play) and RF Denis Phipps grounded out to score Kainer and make it 2-0.  The next inning, SS Todd Frazier’s double scored 1B Logan Parker.

9/6: Dragons ace Rafael Gonzalez (13-5, 3.53 in 25 starts, albeit with 56 BB and just 75 K in 135 IP) departed in the seventh tied 4-4 (6.1 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 0 BB, 3 K), but righties Kevin Gunter (1.2 IP, 2 ER, 1 HR) and Misael DeJesus (1 IP, 3 H, 2 ER) both were hit hard as South Bend went on to take it, 8-4.  Parker’s three-run homer in the fifth briefly gave the Dragons a 4-2 lead.  The other run came in on a Kainer single.

9/7: Anthony Gressick, the Ohio University alumnus who’d allowed just eight earned runs in forty-four innings for Dayton since July 1st (5-8, 4.30 on the year in 26 games, 13 starts), was beaten badly in the first and third innings for a total of seven runs, three coming on a homer.  Down 7-1 going to the bottom of the third, the Dragons scored three runs to make it a game, but could get just one more, in the fifth, and lost the game 7-5.  Frazier and 2B Zach Cozart hit solo homers, while Kainer (.500 for the series) doubled and scored twice and Francisco doubled twice and drove in one.  CF Drew Stubbs was 1-for-5 with a run scored; he hit just .154 for the three games.

This ended the Dragons’ season.  South Bend lost in the next round to West Michigan (DET).  Dayton finished 34-36 for the second half and 78-62 for the year.

Rookie-Pioneer

9/4: Kyle Lotzkar dazzled by allowing just a solo homer and whiffing eight in four innings (1.13, 1 BB), but Great Falls whacked Matt Klinker (L 2-2, 5.44, 1.2 IP, 5 H, 5 R, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K, 1 HR)  and won easily, 8-3.  The Mustangs committed three errors.  3B Angel Cabrera doubled three times and singled in a perfect 4-for-4 night (.280).

9/5: White Sox 3B CJ Retherford’s second homer of the game, off closer Scott Gaffney (L 1-2, 6.00, 1 IP, 3 H, 1 ER) in the top of the ninth, snapped a 3-3 tie and pushed Great Falls to a 4-3 win.  Starter Luis Montano allowed three runs in five innings (3.62, 3 BB, 4 K) and Jeremy Horst pitched three strong in relief (3.18, 2 H, 2 BB, 5 K).  Cabrera, playing second base this time, picked up two more hits (.285). 

9/6: Rained out.

9/7:  Billings finished its season playoffless by splitting a makeup doubleheader, winning 7-5 and losing 8-1.  In game one, Josh Ravin got his first win by allowing just two hits in five innings- sure, he also allowed five runs, but four were unearned (W 1-5, 8.55, 5 IP, 2 H, 5 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 5 K, 1 HR).  Curtis Partch pitched the final two of the seven-inning game for the save (3.29).  1B Michael McKennon finished a fine .286/.331/.502 year by slamming a two-run homer, #11.  Cabrera was 2-for-3 with two RBI (.291/.360/.374) and 3B Carlos Mendez was 2-for-2 with two RBI.

Four Mustangs error in game two pinned the loss on Scott Carroll (L 0-1, 2.93, 3 IP, 4 H, 4 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 1 K). 

Billings finished the half at 17-21 and 37-38 for the year.  They’ll begin 2008 with a new manager and a new ballpark.

INSIDE: Callups announced, as 1B-LF Joey Votto, C Ryan Hanigan (!), RHR Todd Coffey, RHR Brad Salmon, RHP Kirk Saarloos, and OF Buck Coats will head to Cincinnati.  Jay Bruce and Johnny Cueto will call it a season.  In other news: Louisville and Chattanooga both finish with winning streaks, while Sarasota and Dayton are playoff-bound. The Reds play today (9/4) in the FSL divisionals against Clearwater, while the Dragons have a handful of regular-season games remaining.

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INSIDE: AFL rosters announced!

 

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These days Paul Daugherty of the Cincinnati Enquirer writes as if old age has prematurely robbed him of his mental capacities. He appears to dimly remember a better past, but resents the present because of that past. In other words, he has become the proverbial old man who yells at kids to get off his lawn because, well, he can’t really remember why, but that is his lawn, dammit!

Daugherty’s column on 8/22/07 is yet another example of that a deteriorating mind is a terrible thing. Sure, it is one of those “What do we do now all that all is lost this season” type pieces that appear on cue in late August in the cities of flailing teams, but Daugherty’s assertions are dangerously moronic — if stupidity could kill, he wouldn’t have been able to finish filling his copy.

Daugherty begins his free fall into the Abyss of Ignorance with an assertion that in order to have a strong finish, the Reds need to play Scott Hatteberg instead of Joey Votto as the schedule plays itself out. Doddering Paul goes as far to say Hatteberg is “He’s a pleasure to watch with a bat in his hands.” Homoerotic imagery aside, Paul really needs to revisit what a good year is for a first baseman.

Yes, Hatteberg’s season OPS total of .860 is pretty good. However, Hatteberg is used in a platoon role and only has 35 plate appearances against LHP. In fact, he hasn’t even had enough plate appearances to be “qualified”. Plus, he plays his home games at GAB and has enjoyed an enormous home park advantage; Hatteberg has a rather anemic .685 road OPS. Even with the platoon and home field advantage. Hatteberg’s .860 OPS only ranks eighth in terms of NL starting first baseman, which doesn’t constitute “very good” in terms of first baseman.

Doddering Paul then goes onto say that Hatteberg is ” better than Votto by miles, now”. which is absolutely absurd. Votto has put up an. 889 OPS in Louisville, despite a slow start. Unlike Hatteberg, Votto has played versus LHP and in a tougher home park. Most importantly, Hatteberg is wheezing towards the end of the season, only hitting .260 with a .762 OPS. Hatteberg isn’t “better by miles, now”, than anyone, especially not Votto.

Daugherty then unleashes a string of rather stupid questions:

“Is there anyone more worthy of a daily look-see than Keppinger?”

Uh, Joey Votto? Except that would curtail your Hatteberg appreciation time.

” Are 114 ABs too short a sample?”

Paul, samples are not “tall” or “short”; they are large or small. A lazy wordsmith is a sloppy wordsmith. Of course 114 ABs is too small a sample size to stand alone — if you really don’t know the answer to that question, enroll in a night class at the local community college. Look, the sample size quandary is not a ferocious beast; it is just beyond basic math. Just because small sample sizes frustrate your desire to make quick judgments based on certain times of the year like spring training and September call up.

From there, Paul even suggests Adam Dunn could be benched to see if other players like Norris Hopper are part of the future, then it is onto a frontal lobotomy time as Paul suggests “If Votto comes up and fails, they can pick up Hatteberg’s bargain-basement $1.85 million option for next year.” Sweet Jesus, Paul, you think the Reds make long term personnel decisions based on about a month of playing time? You shouldn’t be allowed near a ballpark, let alone allowed to write to a baseball audience.

Paul then proceeds to perform acts of fellatio on Jeff Keppinger “One very big one is, his benefits to a winning baseball team aren’t always measurable. There is no fantasy-team stat for hitting behind a runner or not striking out or approaching every at-bat with a solid notion of what you’re up there for.”

Paul, I don’t think you would know a fantasy-team stat if it bit you on the ass. When it comes to stats, you are a Neanderthal. You just think “fantasy” has a derogatory ring. You use stats to make your point (often incorrectly), but embrace the “stats can’t tell everything” when it suits you. ESPN tracks productive outs, Paul. Guess what the data shows us? The teams with the most productive outs usually aren’t good baseball teams. The Nats, the Rockies, the Pirates, the Giants, and the Devil Rays lead the majors this year. Count how many of those five teams are good.

There is also a stat that tracks how many times a slow contact hitter makes two outs when there is a runner on base. It is called GDP, and Keppinger has already hit into tem of them in the majors, despite just 137 plate appearances with runners on base.

Look, I like Keppinger and don’t want to sound like I am running him down. However, Keppinger is what he is — a slow, high contact hitter with little power. He isn’t some diamond in the rough that just needed to be discovered. He certainly fills a need from the bench for the present and future Reds, plus by having him on the roster, Krivsky probably won’t be compelled to sign the Juan Castros of the world. However, enough with the man crush, Paul.

It really is a shame that Daugherty has joined the Dark Side, willing to bed with the Luddites rather than actually use his mind. He used to be a competent baseball reporter, but now he has become a pale Brennaman imitation.

INSIDE: We get down to our last few episodes of the season.  Major shuffles in Louisville, new blood for Chattanooga, the A-ballers prepare for the playoffs, and Billings needs a run.

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Here is a look at the league’s Bullpen Win Probability Added as compared to the variance in Wins from a team’s Pythag. Often, a team’s bullpen is the reason for that variance, so looking at the Bullpen WPA can be a good place to start looking for team’s whose pen is tweaking their Pythag.

AL
       BWPA     VAR
SEA    7.39      6
BOS    7.25     -1
MIN    5.46     -2   
TEX    5.41     -1
LAA    4.91      3
CLE    3.95      2
KCR    3.33     -3
NYA    1.44     -7
TOR    1.16     -3
OAK    0.65     -4
DET    0.36      0
BAL   -4.59     -5
TBR   -7.73      1

NL
SDP    7.17     -2
LAN    6.33      0
ARI    6.29     10
STL    5.34      6
WAS    4.47      4
NYN    4.45      2
ATL    3.32     -1
MIL    3.09      3
PIT    1.19     -1
HOU    0.98      0 
FLA    0.84      1
CHN    0.44     -3
SFG   -0.94     -7
COL   -0.95     -2
PHI   -2.95     -1
CIN   -3.77     -2

More to Follow

INSIDE: Louisville back above .500!  Matt Maloney: missing bats!  Chris Valaika, on a tear!  Dayton struggling, losing six of seven!  Same story in rookie ball: Billings solid, GCL Reds not!

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Sorry, little time.

A few thoughts:

-I’m happy with the Dodger series.  Two outta three ain’t bad, even if Phil Dumatrait is not our savior.  And, after looking at that Dodger lineup, I can see why they were linked with teams attempting to acquire Adam Dunn.

-San Diego is two games better than LA in the standings, three in Pythagorean reckoning.  They have the best ERA in the National League by a considerable margin (3.51), although it’s 3.17 at home and 3.89 on the road (still pretty darn good).  It is, however, 4.80 since the All-Star break, which is much of the reason why the Padres are 12-15 in that span.

-The Padres are 13th in the NL in batting, ahead of Pittsburgh, Arizona, and Washington.  They average 4.62 runs per game on the road compared to just 3.84 at home.  Yet San Diego is still 29-27 away from home, so while they play better at Petco Park, they are not doing a Rockies thing at all. 

-The Reds get new acquisition Wil Ledezma, a lefty (3-3, 5.06) against Matt Belisle today, then Justin Germano vs. Bobby Livingston (WAIVER BATTLE ‘07!!) and Jake Peavy against Bronson Arroyo Sunday.  I like the chances against Ledezma, making his first start of the year, then even money in Waiverville and the Peavy thing’s an uphill climb.

-We get to miss ‘07 All-Star Chris Young and Greg Maddux, at least.  That’s good.  OF Scott Hairston is injured, and Brian Giles, Milton Bradley, and Michael Barrett are all listed as day-to-day.  Meanwhile, the Reds should get Josh Hamilton back before the end of the series (even though he’s still not activated for his own promotional night at GABP tonight).

-And at least we’re not doing this with 13 pitchers.  It may seem stupid to have claimed Jason Ellison and his classic fifth outfielder’s skills on waivers with Chris Dickerson, a five-tool player, down in AAA- but Chris could use the at-bats and Ellison probably isn’t getting any better.  Sounds counterintuitive, a little, but I’m at peace with it.

Grant an assist to the rain, but the Reds bounced back to batter the Pirates in game one and overcome more shoddy relief work in game two.

Surprisingly, it was Jon Coutlangus sent back to Louisville in favor of Eddie Guardado (who’s finally ready).  Ryan Freel was DLed and replaced with Gary Majewski (who does deserve another chance), leaving the Reds with 13 pitchers through the end of the week.  The end of Josh Hamilton’s rehab stint will then likely get Todd Coffey his deserved demotion.  I hate 13-pitcher rosters.

It’s time for the Dodgers (58-53, Pyth 59-52) to make their annual visit to Cincinnati (47-64, Pyth 50-61).  It’s funny- I though LA was playing better than they actually are.  Instead, Arizona’s in first and the Rockies (!) just one game behind the Big Blue Wrecking Crew.  I guess I should pay more day-to-day attention to standings.  The Reds get lefty Mark Hendrickson (4-5, 4.55, 104 H in 97 IP) in game one; he’s no better than LA’s fourth starter even discounting the injured Randy Wolf and Jason Schmidt.  Bronson Arroyo will try to bounce back from his Washington catastrophe.  Righty Derek Lowe (8-10, 3.58), the listed game two starter, is iffy with a strained hip and he’s lasted a combined ten innings in his last three starts.  Derek gets Aaron Harang tomorrow.  Second-year man Chad Billingsley (7-2, 3.43), who’s pitched very well as of late in the rotation, draws Phil Dumatrait’s second major-league start in the day-game finale Thursday.

The Dodgers, as usual, rely on good pitching, although their 3.99 ERA (5th in NL) and 506 runs scored (9th in NL) are both pretty close to the middle of the pack.  The team’s OPS leader, thirty-nine-year-old 2B Jeff Kent (.305/.384/.511) has been day-to-day with a strained hamstring.  RF Andre Ethier (.304/.370/.465) and C Russ Martin (.296/.368/.466) are numbers two and three among Dodger batting-title qualifiers.  Non-Kent veterans aren’t impressing: witness LF Luis Gonzalez (a passable .283/.360/.437), SS Rafael Furcal (.284/.348/.373), 1B Nomar Garciaparra (.282/.329/.368) and CF Juan Pierre (.277/.314/.331)  Youngsters are being held down: OF Matt Kemp (.328/.372/.511) and 1B James Loney (.323/.379/.487) have both done very well in part-time duty.  3B Andy LaRoche (.211/.436/.263 in 18 G), who is day-to-day at the moment, was impressive enough that the Dodgers traded Wilson Betemit to the Yankees to clear him space.

The Dodger bullpen is pretty unimpeachably strong, and not just because of closer Takashi Saito (1-0, 1.48, 42.2 IP, 26 H, 6 BB, 49 K, 27 SV).  Righty Jonathan Broxton has been a workhorse (4-2, 2.56, 56 G, 56.1 IP, 67 K).  Scott Proctor, acquired from the Yankees in the Betemit deal, has given up one run in 3.2 innings so far (but is at 3.72 for the season, with 32 BB in 58 IP).  Rudy Seanez has been healthy the entire season (!!) and is at 4.03 in 51 games.  Lefty Joe Beimel (2-1, 3.97, 47.2 IP, 56 G) has been steady.  Filling out the rest of the pen, though, is a motley crew: 42-year-old Roberto Hernandez (3.52, 8 G), righty Chin-hui Tsao (4.38), homer-prone righty DJ Houlton (5.17, 4 HR in 15.2 IP), and good ol’ Brett Tomko (2-9, 5.56, 30 G, 12 GS, 89 IP, 106 H).

Given that we miss Brad Penny (13-3, 2.66) and Randy Wolf (9-6, 4.73, but a Reds killer), I like our chances to take two here.  I still don’t like the idea of Phil Dumatrait in the rotation (and yes, that goes back to before he got shelled in his debut) and we don’t know if Harang is healthy, but somehow I think we’re going to hit a little bit this series.

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